Business Cycles, Growth, Economic Structure Currency and Financial Markets ECB Economic Policy Europe Macroeconomics

Statement on the ECB council meeting (April 27, 2017)

It is wise for the ECB to stick to its policy strategy and not let itself be impressed by criticism from Germany. The pressure from Germany for the ECB to end its expansionary policy stance prematurely has increased. The ECB is right to resist the pressure from Germany as the economic and financial risks for the euro area are still significant.

The ECB is only gradually getting closer to meeting its price stability mandate as in particular core inflation is … [continue reading]

Read more
Business Cycles, Growth, Economic Structure Currency and Financial Markets ECB Economic Policy Europe Foreign Trade and International Economic Relations

Germany’s Misunderstood Trade Surplus

Now that Germany’s current-account surplus has reached a record €270 billion ($285 billion), or close to 8.7% of GDP, the ongoing debate about its economic model has intensified. Eurozone politicians and Donald Trump’s administration in the United States are each blaming the other for the economic imbalance; and all are blaming the euro.

Trump’s administration, for its part, has attacked Germany for exporting too much, and accused it of manipulating the euro. In fact, Germany’s trade surplus has little to … [continue reading]

Read more
Business Cycles, Growth, Economic Structure Currency and Financial Markets ECB Europe Macroeconomics Monetary Policy

Statement on Today’s Decisions of ECB’s Governing Council 09/03/2015

The European Central Bank decision to stay course does not come as a surprise. The weaker projected inflation and growth figures were expected. The ECB is caught in a difficult dilemma: with its projections, the ECB admits that it will miss its price stability objective over the medium term. But it is wise for the ECB to follow a wait-and-see strategy. Global uncertainty has risen and is very high. The biggest concern for the ECB is not China or the … [continue reading]

Read more
Business Cycles, Growth, Economic Structure Economic Policy Public Finances and Financial Economics

Expert Commission presents 10-point plan to increase investment, growth, and jobs

PK_Expertenkommission

The Expert Commission appointed by Federal Minister of Economic Affairs Sigmar Gabriel proposes a 10-point plan to lay a new foundation for increasing investment, growth, and jobs in Germany. With this, both the existing investment opportunities in the public sector as well as the framework conditions for private investment should improve – including through an investment pact for municipalities, the formation of a public infrastructure institution, and a public infrastructure investment fund. In the creation of a plan to “strengthen … [continue reading]

Read more
Business Cycles, Growth, Economic Structure Public Finances and Financial Economics

“A force d’économies, notre patrimoine a perdu énormément de valeur”

This interview was first published in Les Echos on 15 September 2014.

Ancien économiste à la Banque centrale européenne, Marcel Fratzscher publie vendredi un nouveau livre «L’Illusion allemande», dans lequel il critique l’arrogance d’un pays qui se considère comme exemplaire mais dont l’économie présente aussi deréels handicaps.

Selon un rapport du Bundesrat, 20 % des autoroutes et 46 % des ponts routiers en Allemagne sont vétustes. Comment en est-on arrivé là ?

Jusqu’aux années 1980, l’Allemagne avait d’excellentes infrastructures et … [continue reading]

Read more
Business Cycles, Growth, Economic Structure Europe Foreign Trade and International Economic Relations Public Finances and Financial Economics

The German locomotive has become Europe’s liability

This article was first published on ft.com on 27 August 2014.

The news that German output declined in the second quarter has dented the country’s economic euphoria, but only a little.

Many blame the Ukraine crisis and transient factors such as the mild winter, and believe that Europe’s largest economy remains fundamentally strong. They are wrong. Germany’s disappointing performance mostly reflects structural weaknesses, both at home and in the eurozone. Policy makers should act quickly, before the problems become further … [continue reading]

Read more
Business Cycles, Growth, Economic Structure Currency and Financial Markets Economic Policy Europe Foreign Trade and International Economic Relations Macroeconomics

Sanctions Blowback

This article was first published on Project Syndicate on 14 August 2014.

With the crisis in Ukraine intensifying, the United States and the European Union are locked in a battle of wills – and sanctions – with Russia. Indeed, in retaliation for the intensification of Western financial sanctions, Russia has announced a ban on food and agricultural imports from the US and the EU. But the real threat to the West lies in the potential impact of a financial crisis … [continue reading]

Read more
Business Cycles, Growth, Economic Structure Europe Macroeconomics Public Finances and Financial Economics

Europe Doesn’t Need More Public Spending

This article was first published in The Wall Street Journal Europe on 4 July 2014

Europe is stuck in a deep slump and facing the prospect of many more years of stagnation and high unemployment. European leaders are right in their diagnosis that a growth stimulus is urgently needed to end the crisis. But they are wrong in their solution: The Continent doesn’t need more public spending and bigger government. It needs more competition, innovation and the completion of the … [continue reading]

Read more